Double Bottom!!
A Double Bottom is considered a bullish signal, indicating a possible reversal of the current downtrend to a new uptrend.Double Bottoms are considered to be among the most common of the patterns. Since, they seem to be so easy to identify, the Double Bottom should be approached with caution by the investor. The Double Bottom is a reversal pattern of a downward trend in a stock's price. The Double Bottom marks a downtrend in the process of becoming an uptrend. A Double Bottom occurs when prices form two distinct lows on a chart. A Double Bottom is only complete, however, when prices rise above the high end of the point that formed the second low. The two lows will be distinct. The pattern is complete when prices rise above the highest high in the formation. The highest high is called the "confirmation point".
Analysts vary in their specific definitions of a Double Bottom. According to some, after the first bottom is formed, a rally of at least 10% should follow. That increase is measured from high to low. This should be followed by a second bottom. The second bottom returning back to the previous low (plus or minus 3%) should be on lower volume than the first. Other analysts maintain that the rise registered between the two bottoms should be at least 20% and the lows should be spaced at least a month apart. Sometimes the two lows comprising a Double Bottom are not at exactly the same price level. This does not necessarily render the pattern invalid. Analysts advise that if the second low varies in price from the first low by more than 3% or 4%, the pattern may be less reliable.
The bottoms will have a significant amount of time between them - ranging from a few weeks to a year depending on whether an investor is viewing a weekly chart or a daily chart. Generally, volume in a Double Bottom is usually higher on the left bottom than the right. Volume tends to be downward as the pattern forms. Volume does, however, pick up as the pattern hits its lows. Volume increases again when the pattern completes, breaking through the confirmation point
Important Characteristics
Following are important characteristic to look for in a Double Bottom. Downtrend Preceding Double Bottom The Double Bottom is a reversal formation. It begins with prices in a downtrend.
Time between Bottoms
Analysts pay close attention to the "size" of the pattern - the duration of the interval between the two lows. Generally, the longer the time between the two lows, the more important the pattern is as a good reversal. Some analysts suggest that investors should look for patterns where at least one month elapses between the bottoms. It is not unusual for a few months to pass between the dates of the two bottoms
Increase from First Low
Some analysts argue the increase in price that occurs between the two bottoms should be consequential, amounting to approximately 20% of the price. Other analysts are not so definite or demanding concerning the price increase. For some, an increase of at least 10% is adequate. The rise between the lows tends to look rounded but it can also be irregular in shape. Volume Volume tends to be heaviest during the first low and lighter on the second. It is common to see volume pick up again at the time of breakout. Pullback after Breakout A pullback after the breakout is usual for a Double Bottom.
Target Price
The target price provides an important indication about the potential price move that this pattern indicates. Consider whether the target price for this pattern is sufficient to provide adequate returns after your costs (such as commissions) have been taken into account. A good rule of thumb is that the target price must indicate a potential return of greater than 5% before a pattern should be considered useful. However you must consider the current price and the volume of shares you intend to trade. Also, check that the target price has not already been achieved.
Inbound Trend
The inbound trend is an important characteristic of the pattern. A shallow inbound trend may indicate a period of consolidation before the price move indicated by the pattern begins. Look for an inbound trend that is longer than the duration of the pattern. A good rule of thumb is that the inbound trend should be at least two times the duration of the pattern.